correlation matrix
Enhancing a Risk Model by Adding Transient Statistical Factors
Tzikas, Alexandros E., Candès, Emmanuel J., Hastie, Trevor, Boyd, Stephen P., Kochenderfer, Mykel J., Kahn, Ronald N.
Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two components: the first attributed to a small number of factors that are common among the assets and the second attributed to the idiosyncratic behavior of each asset. Third-party providers typically provide risk models to investors, and while these models are typically of high quality, they may fail to capture important information, e.g., changing market regimes and transient factors. To overcome these limitations, we propose a systematic method based on maximum likelihood estimation to enhance an existing factor model by both refining the given model and adding new statistical factors. Our approach relies only on the observed sequence of realized returns and on the choice of two hyperparameters: the number of additional factors and the half-life parameter that determines the weights assigned to returns in the log-likelihood objective. Importantly, our methodology applies to the situation where asset returns may be missing, making it suitable for typical equity datasets. We demonstrate our approach on the Barra short-term US risk model, a high-quality risk model used in practice, for a universe of US high-capitalization equities. We show that the proposed extension captures structure in the returns that is missed by the original model.
Anchor-Free Correlated Topic Modeling: Identifiability and Algorithm
Kejun Huang, Xiao Fu, Nikolaos D. Sidiropoulos
In topic modeling, many algorithms that guarantee identifiability of the topics have been developed under the premise that there exist anchor words - i.e., words that only appear (with positive probability) in one topic. Follow-up work has resorted to three or higher-order statistics of the data corpus to relax the anchor word assumption. Reliable estimates of higher-order statistics are hard to obtain, however, and the identification of topics under those models hinges on uncorrelatedness of the topics, which can be unrealistic. This paper revisits topic modeling based on second-order moments, and proposes an anchor-free topic mining framework. The proposed approach guarantees the identification of the topics under a much milder condition compared to the anchor-word assumption, thereby exhibiting much better robustness in practice. The associated algorithm only involves one eigendecomposition and a few small linear programs. This makes it easy to implement and scale up to very large problem instances. Experiments using the TDT2 and Reuters-21578 corpus demonstrate that the proposed anchor-free approach exhibits very favorable performance (measured using coherence, similarity count, and clustering accuracy metrics) compared to the prior art.
Adaptive Layer Sparsity for Large Language Models via Activation Correlation Assessment
Large Language Models (LLMs) have revolutionized the field of natural language processing with their impressive capabilities. However, their enormous size presents challenges for deploying them in real-world applications. Traditional compression techniques, like pruning, often lead to suboptimal performance due to their uniform pruning ratios and lack of consideration for the varying importance of features across different layers. To address these limitations, we present a novel Adaptive Layer Sparsity (ALS) approach to optimize LLMs. Our approach consists of two key steps.